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The surprisingly ample victory of opposition candidate Alberto Fernandez over President Mauricio Macri in the August 11 presidential primaries triggered a currency run and a sharp…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB246142
ISSN: 2633-304X
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The severe drought’s impact on export earnings has fuelled fears of devaluation, increasing exchange pressures and forcing the government to implement further domestic debt swaps…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB278451
ISSN: 2633-304X
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After financial turbulence in the first half of 2022, the economy stabilised in the second half, and the government is estimated to have met IMF policy targets for 2022. However…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB275364
ISSN: 2633-304X
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With second-quarter targets unmet, the deal was delayed by conflicting positions on fiscal and exchange policies. Economy Minister Sergio Massa’s recent policy package paved the…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB281076
ISSN: 2633-304X
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However, since the August primaries his goal has shifted to winning the elections, or at reaching a run-off, prompting expansionary policies aiming to improve households’…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB282141
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Massa also extended peso debt maturities through a successful debt swap. On the political front, he was able to overcome the resistance of Vice-President Cristina Fernandez de…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB272411
ISSN: 2633-304X
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The peso is depreciating sharply due to renewed uncertainty surrounding the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). Further volatility may be caused by an acrimonious and…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB225342
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Prospects for Venezuela in 2017.
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB214882
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Although pre-election spending normally militates against a sharp drop in growth in election years, there is little margin for this in a context of low reserves, spiralling…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB279852
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Prospects for Argentina in 2020.