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The surprisingly ample victory of opposition candidate Alberto Fernandez over President Mauricio Macri in the August 11 presidential primaries triggered a currency run and a sharp…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB246142
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Opposition leaders suspended a meeting with Economy Minister Martin Guzman, while Foreign Minister Santiago Cafiero’s visit to US Secretary of State Antony Blinken elicited…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB266862
ISSN: 2633-304X
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However, since the August primaries his goal has shifted to winning the elections, or at reaching a run-off, prompting expansionary policies aiming to improve households’…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB282141
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Although styled as the more 'business-friendly' candidate, Macri will face numerous challenges in making rapid macroeconomic changes, despite the need to do so. Since 2003, when…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB206839
ISSN: 2633-304X
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The government has posted the first fiscal surplus in years, inflation has declined and foreign currency reserves have risen from USD21.0bn in mid-December to USD28.5bn. However…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB285892
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Although pre-election spending normally militates against a sharp drop in growth in election years, there is little margin for this in a context of low reserves, spiralling…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB279852
ISSN: 2633-304X
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The deal must still be approved by the Senate and by the IMF Board. This must happen before March 22 to avoid a default on a USD3.2bn repayment due on that date, which the…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB267914
ISSN: 2633-304X
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LLA has capitalised on growing discontent with politics after over a decade of economic stagnation, high inflation and increasing poverty. Milei’s discourse against what he calls…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB279171
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Prospects for Argentina in 2016.
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB206442
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Prospects for Latin America in the third quarter.