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Fed/ECB strategies renew monetary policy for the 2020s

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INTERNATIONAL

The changes aim to improve the efficiency of monetary policy in the environment of lower interest rates, inflation and growth, in which deflation, stagnation or recession are…

Inflation expectations matter more than unemployment

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INTERNATIONAL

The surge in inflation this year owes more to supply bottlenecks caused by the release of pent-up demand than to falling unemployment. In the decade before the pandemic, US…

ECB monetary review could boost policy flexibility

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EU

ECB monetary review.

Central banks battle inflation and political headwinds

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INTERNATIONAL

With greater-than-usual uncertainty about the course of inflation and economic growth, decisions taken now by central banks will have a crucial impact on longer-term growth…

Fed's 2022 rate rises to bite fully this year

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INTERNATIONAL

The major central banks use one key tool to implement policy and influence the economy as directly as possible -- an overnight interest rate on banks’ reserves at the central…

Prospects for the global economy in the fourth quarter

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PROSPECTS Q4 2015

Prospects for the global economy in the fourth quarter.

The central banks face an increasingly complex dilemma

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INTERNATIONAL

With inflation lasting longer than expected, worries about the impact on banking may limit the scope for more rate hikes. Equally, a pause could undermine central banks'…

ECB faces multiple challenges in withdrawing stimulus

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EU

ECB policy deliberations.

Argentina stabilisation plan will prove challenging

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ARGENTINA

With Milei now predicting six months of stagflation and up to two years to reduce inflation from triple digits, dollarisation appears to have been shelved. Instead, he seems…

IMF deal will bring little relief in Argentina

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ARGENTINA

The new agreement envisages a primary surplus of 2% of GDP, a zero general deficit and reserves accumulation of USD10bn; it includes no new funding. However, the widening gap…