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Optimistic expectations of Colombia’s Petro pose risks

Location:

COLOMBIA

Turnout, at over 58%, was the highest since 1974. Petro’s largest leads were recorded in coastal departments (regions); he also secured a majority in Bogota. Although he has…

New army could threaten Haitian political stability

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HAITI

Military prospects.

Prospects for Brazil in 2018

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PROSPECTS 2018

Prospects for Brazil in 2018.

Costa Rica’s pandemic response faces political hurdles

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COSTA RICA

In August, it asked the IMF for a USD1.75bn credit under the Extended Fund Facility. This will come on top of the USD504mn approved by the IMF for emergency financial assistance…

Milei risks rapid loss of Argentina political capital

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ARGENTINA

President Javier Milei, who denounced the bill’s opponents as ‘traitors’, has said he will not bring it back to debate, at least for now. With his December emergency decree also…

Chile's political malaise will not be rapidly resolved

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CHILE

The impact of continuing protests.

Iranian government faces severe economic challenges

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IRAN

Subsidies on basic goods and services account for around 12% of total government spending, imposing pressure on the budget without necessarily reaching those Iranians who need…

Jordan’s stalled economy risks rising social tensions

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JORDAN

The economy faces chronic problems of low growth, joblessness and declining living standards, resulting in periodic protests. Its heavy dependence on foreign aid, especially from…

South African government faces public-sector showdown

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SOUTH AFRICA

The negotiations follow the government’s refusal last year to pay the final annual tranche of a previous three-year deal. Containing the public-sector wage bill is seen as key for…

Bachelet legacy will depend on next Chilean government

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CHILE

Bachelet is beset by low approval ratings, in sharp contrast with her popularity at the end of her first term (2006-10). In response, she sought to claim a place in history by…