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Risks will outweigh recovery chances in Eastern Europe

Location:

EASTERN EUROPE

The economic environment has been dictated by Russia’s war in Ukraine and its market and policy implications. Next year, the prospects for the V4 economies are moderately upbeat…

The balance of power will favour US workers into 2023

Location:

US

Last year, employee resistance, reinforced by tight labour markets, frustrated employer hopes for a return to the office. This year, employers are reluctantly accepting that…

Japan's GDP growth will settle after 'great reopening'

Location:

JAPAN

Exports are near all-time highs. Prices have risen solidly for three successive quarters, indicating that Japan's period of deflation and weakly rising prices may be ending.

Private-sector credit squeeze hits Argentine recovery

Location:

ARGENTINA

The government has continued to absorb banks’ liquidity to close the fiscal deficit, with most private investors reluctant to finance the Treasury. The decline in demand for…

Varying economic performance metrics muddy the outlook

Location:

UNITED STATES

Estimates of income rather than output, of household rather than firms' employment, and of real rather than nominal wages often diverge, but the gap has widened since the…

Economic 'escape velocity' hinges on Japan's consumers

Location:

JAPAN

The Japanese economy seems unable to get up to cruising speed. One impediment after another has caused growth to lag expectations. The most recent indicators suggest that next…

Productivity growth is key to UK economic prospects

Location:

UNITED KINGDOM

Real wages are now falling at a record pace and the economy is close to recession. While some of the determining factors of the current low-growth, high-inflation environment are…

Prospects for manufacturing in 2016

Location:

PROSPECTS 2016

Prospects for manufacturing in 2016.

Belarus economic woes may complicate presidential poll

Location:

BELARUS

This year started with a contraction of first-quarter GDP, after two years of very slow growth. Industrial output contracted as well. As world oil prices have dropped, Belarus no…

Active investment funds face rising pressure

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Passive and active fund management.