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Bolivia’s nearing elections will shape economic policy

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BOLIVIA

Faced with the diminution of foreign currency reserves, the government has taken steps to encourage exporters to repatriate the dollars they earn abroad and place them within the…

Ghana borrowings may prompt eventual return to the IMF

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GHANA

The Bank of Ghana (BoG) has bought up unprecedented levels of treasury bonds but now wants to scale back its role. Finance Minister Ken Ofori-Atta is looking to international…

Elections may end attempts at orthodoxy in Argentina

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ARGENTINA

Lower spending and a contraction in the monetary base have helped reduce the gap between the official and informal exchange rates and devaluation expectations. The government also…

Egypt will face multiple risks in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

This will make for a challenging start of President Abdel-Fattah el-Sisi’s third term, after he is inevitably re-elected in December this year. Meanwhile, the government will also…

UK fiscal policy must tighten from election promises

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UNITED KINGDOM

Parties' economic policy promises in the May 7 election.

Politics will exacerbate Lebanon’s economic crises

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LEBANON

Lebanon also only has a caretaker government with restricted powers, at a time when the economy has contracted for four consecutive years. A staff-level IMF package worth USD3bn…

Morena triumph in Mexico will drive market uneasiness

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MEXICO

Sheinbaum looks set to continue the economic policies of departing President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO). The electoral triumph has made feasible a constitutional overhaul…

Warsaw will react to lacklustre local vote and economy

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POLAND

Last year’s march was marred by far-right racism, with many foreign activists participating. A court overruled the Warsaw mayor’s attempt to ban the march this year. The ruling…

Inflation and deficits may upset Hungary’s economy

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HUNGARY

Hungary’s inflation rate was the EU’s highest in spring 2021. Spending promises and tax cuts ahead of elections due by spring 2022 are widening the budget deficit. Prime…

Prospects for the United Kingdom in 2016

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PROSPECTS 2016

Prospects for the United Kingdom in 2016.