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East Timor-Australia ties are at a crossroads

Location:

EAST TIMOR/AUSTRALIA

He urged Australia’s Prime Minister Anthony Albanese to help resolve a long-running impasse over whether gas from the Greater Sunrise gas field should be refined in East Timor or…

Congo’s president will secure contested fourth term

Location:

CONGO-BRAZZAVILLE

Several of the main opposition figures are not participating or have decided to boycott, citing an unlevel playing field. The 2016 election runner-up, Guy-Brice Parfait Kolelas…

South African gold mining faces terminal woes

Location:

SOUTH AFRICA

The disruption at Sibanye-Stillwater’s gold mines reflects wider turmoil in the gold mining sector, including a 13th consecutive month of production decline in October. Meanwhile…

Damascus can choose to deal with Ankara or the Kurds

Location:

SYRIA

Washington supported the SDF to fight Islamic State (IS) in Syria. Now that it is largely defeated, there are questions over the superpower’s commitment. The United States has…

Libyan politics may rattle the oil sector yet again

Location:

LIBYA

Libya’s hydrocarbons sector has seen a period of relative stability since the end in 2020 of eastern military commander Khalifa Haftar’s military offensive against Tripoli and the…

Noboa’s youthful Ecuadoran government faces challenges

Location:

ECUADOR

Rather than serving a full term, he will complete that of his predecessor, Guillermo Lasso, who took office in 2021 but stood down early, having run into congressional gridlock…

Qatar will regain confidence as a regional player

Location:

QATAR

Since the sudden end of the three-and-a-half-year ‘Quartet’ boycott in January, Doha has stepped up efforts to normalise relations with formerly hostile Arab countries. It is also…

ASEAN and China will make little progress in sea talks

Location:

ASEAN/CHINA

A row between the Philippine and Chinese coast guards in mid-February underscored that tensions in the South China Sea remain elevated. Indonesia is the 2023 ASEAN chair.

Turkey faces power shortages as gas contracts end

Location:

TURKEY

Turkey stands to lose 21% of its import portfolio during the peak winter demand period. Take-or-pay gas import contracts signed two decades ago are coming to an end, and renewal…