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Fast Ecuador security wins stoke longer-term issues

Location:

ECUADOR

He declared a state of emergency on January 9, giving the military a central role in tackling the crisis. The militarisation of security policy has reduced crime and increased…

Poe will be decisive in Philippines 2016 election

Location:

PHILIPPINES

Update on the outlook for the 2016 presidential elections.

External factors will slow Greek GDP growth next year

Location:

GREECE

The economy is on track to grow by 5.3% year-on-year in 2022, outperforming market expectations for the second year in a row. In a sign of its recovery, Greece left the EU's…

Fidesz’s hold on power in Hungary will be unchallenged

Location:

HUNGARY

Fidesz’s electoral support.

Jokowi’s successor will have final say on capital move

Location:

INDONESIA

Jokowi first expressed determination to shift the seat of government from Jakarta in April 2019, shortly after the election in which he secured a second and final five-year term…

Key rift is growing threat to stability in Philippines

Location:

PHILIPPINES

Furthermore, former President Duterte threatened the secession of the southern Mindanao island, the Duterte family’s political stronghold, if Marcos proceeds with plans to amend…

Iran's 'resistance economy' faces new tests in 2021

Location:

IRAN

At the same time, the June 18 presidential election campaign is beginning, with top judge Ibrahim Raisi registering as a favoured candidate. Heading a high-profile anti-corruption…

Soft landing has become more likely in Central Europe

Location:

EU

The NBP’s March Inflation Report lowers its forecast for average CPI significantly to 1.7%, from 3.2% in its November forecast; GDP is to grow by 4.0% (November: 3.6%). Outside…

Tourism to drive Belize economic growth amid slowdown

Location:

BELIZE

Real GDP surged by 15% in 2021 and 12% in 2022, then by 4% in 2023. With inflation easing, risks of social instability have probably fallen over the past year, but growth looks…

Salvini faces a major leadership test in Italy

Location:

ITALY

The League’s support has plummeted over the past few years, compounded by poor results in regional elections earlier this year. Internal critics are also increasingly…