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Inflationary expectations threaten eastern EU recovery

Location:

EU

Supply bottlenecks and higher energy prices have driven up prices. The OECD reported 4.6% annual inflation in September, and 18.9% for energy. In the EU, annual inflation reached…

Early Argentine economic successes are unsustainable

Location:

ARGENTINA

The government has posted the first fiscal surplus in years, inflation has declined and foreign currency reserves have risen from USD21.0bn in mid-December to USD28.5bn. However…

NCP dissolution offers respite to Sudan’s government

Location:

SUDAN

Dissolution of Sudan's former ruling party.

Optimistic expectations of Colombia’s Petro pose risks

Location:

COLOMBIA

Turnout, at over 58%, was the highest since 1974. Petro’s largest leads were recorded in coastal departments (regions); he also secured a majority in Bogota. Although he has…

Liberia's next president faces mounting expectations

Location:

LIBERIA

Whoever succeeds outgoing President Ellen Johnson Sirleaf will have to tackle widespread state corruption, cut recurrent government expenditure and boost infrastructure spending…

Mexico candidates’ economic plans are overly ambitious

Location:

MEXICO

Their economic proposals are intended to impress voters but seem largely uncosted and risk generating unrealistic expectations of the winner. Polling points to a clear victory for…

Colombia’s economy faces sluggish growth in 2024

Location:

COLOMBIA

Expectations for 2024 suggest lower inflation than last year, but risks persist. The OECD forecasts moderate GDP growth, highlighting inflation and interest rate concerns. Minimum…

New Brazil government faces economic challenges

Location:

BRAZIL

For 2023, the market expects a significant slowdown, with growth of around 0.8%. This presents a highly challenging context for President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and his finance…

African Union faces high expectations but low capacity

Location:

AFRICA

The Summit came amid challenging internal and external circumstances including old and new conflicts, military coups, economic struggles, sluggish economic integration, democratic…

Prospects for the US economy to end-2017

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2017

Prospects for the US economy to end-2017.