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Brazil oil auctions fall short of expectations

Location:

BRAZIL

Pre-salt oil auctions.

Inflationary expectations threaten eastern EU recovery

Location:

EU

Supply bottlenecks and higher energy prices have driven up prices. The OECD reported 4.6% annual inflation in September, and 18.9% for energy. In the EU, annual inflation reached…

The Fed will be very cautious about policy tightening

Location:

UNITED STATES

The Fed targets an average annual inflation rate of 2% but, under its 2020 monetary policy framework, will tolerate a moderate overshoot to make up for past low inflation. The Fed…

Early Argentine economic successes are unsustainable

Location:

ARGENTINA

The government has posted the first fiscal surplus in years, inflation has declined and foreign currency reserves have risen from USD21.0bn in mid-December to USD28.5bn. However…

Mexico candidates’ economic plans are overly ambitious

Location:

MEXICO

Their economic proposals are intended to impress voters but seem largely uncosted and risk generating unrealistic expectations of the winner. Polling points to a clear victory for…

Optimistic expectations of Colombia’s Petro pose risks

Location:

COLOMBIA

Turnout, at over 58%, was the highest since 1974. Petro’s largest leads were recorded in coastal departments (regions); he also secured a majority in Bogota. Although he has…

US rates unlikely to rocket higher after ‘lift-off’

Location:

UNITED STATES

US inflation expectations.

Carbon capture rollout will hit global policy gap

Location:

US/INT

Carbon capture and storage technology.

Negative euro-area bond yield universe will expand

Location:

EURO-AREA

The euro-area government bonds outlook in the wake of the ECB's QE.

Fears of higher US inflation and rates are exaggerated

Location:

UNITED STATES

Prominent economists disagree on whether this will fire inflation. The Federal Reserve (Fed) is for the moment prioritising economic growth and employment over price control. It…