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Macedonia crisis may foster pan-Albanianism in Balkans

Location:

BALKANS

The likelihood of a 'Greater Albania'.

Iraqi Kurdish election divisions will erode autonomy

Location:

IRAQ

Tensions have risen over the past year between the ruling Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP) and the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK), due to disagreements over the electoral law…

Myanmar junta will hone divide-and-rule strategy

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MYANMAR

The junta’s battlefield opponents include NUG-aligned People’s Defence Forces (PDFs) and ethnic armed organisations (EAOs) that have fought the military for decades, but there is…

Prospects for Pakistan in 2021

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PROSPECTS 2021

Meanwhile, ethnic insurgents and the Pakistani Taliban Movement (TTP) pose a growing threat to internal security. Pakistan is trying to support peace talks in neighbouring…

Civil-military dynamic will fuel Myanmar’s crisis

Location:

MYANMAR

The military continues to crack down heavily on anti-coup protesters. Its leaders have long regarded civil society as a threat to Myanmar’s unity and security.

Influencing Iraq and Syria will have costs for Turkey

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TURKEY

Turkey's attempts to expand its military role in both Iraq and Syria are entangled with major shifts in its relations with the United States and Russia, and in its overall…

Renewed war with PKK may risk Turkey's energy security

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TURKEY

The Justice and Development Party (AKP) has abandoned its long-stalled 'peace process' with the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK). In response, the PKK has ended its ceasefire…

Dinar ban will damage EU-led Kosovo-Serbia dialogue

Location:

KOSOVO

A Central Bank regulation reaffirming the euro as sole legal tender has alarmed Kosovo’s Serbs who see it as a direct threat to their existence and is jeopardising already complex…

Intensified Kurdish attacks will not shake Tehran

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IRAN

Clashes between Iranian Kurds and the IRGC increased this year following the loss of territory by Islamic State (IS) in Iraq, a new Turkish military assault in Iraqi border areas…

AKP will resume policy of strong Turkish presidency

Location:

TURKEY

The victory has reversed the result of the June elections that produced a 'hung' parliament. AKP has relegated other parties to the sidelines and Erdogan may now press ahead with…