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Oil price will stay subdued globally in 2016

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INTERNATIONAL

The likelihood of a production-cutting deal between OPEC and non-OPEC producers has diminished, and the moderate rebound in prices at end-January has reversed. In 2016, demand…

Oil sanctions will not bring rapid change in Venezuela

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VENEZUELA

President Nicolas Maduro’s beleaguered government will seek to sidestep sanctions on the Venezuelan oil sector announced by the United States on January 28. Some technical aspects…

Prospects for manufacturing in the second quarter

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PROSPECTS Q2 2015

Prospects for manufacturing in the second quarter.

Ukraine war makes EU climate targets less achievable

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EUROPE

The plan focuses on decoupling from Russian energy primarily via an acceleration of the energy transition, rather than falling back on more carbon-intensive coal or building new…

Prospects for the emerging economies in 2020

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PROSPECTS 2020

Prospects for the emerging economies in 2020.

Russia to survive but not thrive on current sanctions

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RUSSIA

The government insists it can ride out broader US and EU sanctions dating from 2014, a view supported by the Standard & Poor's (S&P) rating agency's July assessment that the…

India-Russia ties will withstand external pressures

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INDIA/RUSSIA

The countries have historically had strong ties. However, Delhi's growing partnership with Washington and burgeoning Moscow-Beijing relations are complicating factors, given the…

Saudi-Russian oil market leverage adapts to US actions

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RUSSIA/OPEC

US energy policy has pushed Saudi Arabia and Russia closer together, leading to a level of cooperation inconceivable four years ago. Their leadership and coordination on such key…

Russia will both contest and adjust to EU carbon tax

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RUSSIA

Additional EU taxes on carbon-intensive energy and other products could cost Russian industry up to EUR50bn (USD59bn) before 2030. With some corporate exceptions, Russia's…

Riyadh can manage oil output but not prices

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SAUDI ARABIA

The failure of OPEC+ talks in March aiming to agree a response to reduced demand because of COVID-19 resulted in a price war and aggressive Saudi plans to ramp up output. State…