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Political factors will impact Iran's oil revenues

Location:

IRAN

Official figures may be inflated but independent data show increased oil production and exports in the past year, enabling the government to mitigate its fiscal weakness. The…

Ukraine war will accelerate Germany’s shift on China

Location:

GERMANY

Berlin believes China has played an enabling role in Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, while the war has exposed the risks of European economic dependency on authoritarian countries…

Myanmar business reforms face military obstacles

Location:

MYANMAR

Military business interests and economic reform in Myanmar.

Oil sanctions will not bring rapid change in Venezuela

Location:

VENEZUELA

President Nicolas Maduro’s beleaguered government will seek to sidestep sanctions on the Venezuelan oil sector announced by the United States on January 28. Some technical aspects…

War threatens Russia’s position as arms exporter

Location:

RUSSIA

A combination of the threat of US sanctions, shifting patterns of demand on international markets, and the growing demands of Russia’s own military has caused arms exports to…

Washington will be flexible on its Myanmar sanctions

Location:

MYANMAR/US

The Treasury Department soon after activated one provision of the EO by designating ten individuals in the Myanmar military and three military-linked companies for sanctions…

Omani-Saudi-Emirati tensions may rise in the Gulf

Location:

GULF STATES/OMAN

Former territorial tensions between Muscat and its Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) neighbours have receded in recent decades, allowing smoother cross-border links. However, the…

US-Cypriot warming may restart Turkish gas prospecting

Location:

CYPRUS

This is the most significant upgrade in US-Cyprus relations since the ban was imposed in 1987, and marks a definitive shift for Cyprus from Russia to the West. However, the…

Prospects for US foreign policy in 2018

Location:

PROSPECTS 2018

Prospects for US foreign policy in 2018.