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International ground force unlikely in Syria

Location:

SYRIA/INT

While intensified air attacks will help weaken and contain ISG, they will not destroy it unless accompanied by a substantial ground force to defeat ISG on the ground. However, the…

Prospects for Israelis returning to the north are dim

Location:

ISRAEL

Washington and others are engaged in intensive mediation to prevent all-out war between Israel and Hezbollah. The former insists it can fight on two fronts but there are doubts…

Turkish-EU migrant policies will continue to diverge

Location:

TURKEY/EU

German Chancellor Angela Merkel has said Germany is "ready to offer support" on four Turkish demands in return for cooperating with the EU in the migrant crisis. At a joint press…

The United States will balance North African ties

Location:

NORTH AFRICA

US attention to the region has risen amid tenser Algerian-Moroccan ties. Harris underlined that any military escalation would be "quite alarming" and would set back prospects for…

Cairo aims for greater regional clout

Location:

EGYPT

The advent of a new US administration has presented Egypt with an opportunity to reaffirm its regional strategic importance, but also created new risks.

Russia risks mission creep as Syrian rebels dig in

Location:

SYRIA

Since the start of Russian airstrikes last September, the rebels have suffered their largest territorial loss to the regime in two years. The new counter-insurgent strategy…

War against Islamic State to last years in Iraq, Syria

Location:

IRAQ/SYRIA

Zamili's remarks appear to signal Iraqi government concerns that the US-led international air campaign against the group is not going well. The effectiveness of airstrikes has…

Islamic State may see a limited Iraq-Syria resurgence

Location:

IRAQ/SYRIA

Enabled in part by responses to the pandemic, 2020 saw a temporary surge in IS assaults across rural areas of Iraq and Syria. Attacks have also again become more coordinated and…

Tribal role in Yemen war is under-rated

Location:

YEMEN

Tribes are an important and under-acknowledged element in Yemen’s social, security and political structures. Any agreement to end the civil war needs to take into consideration…

Yemen peace talks will gather momentum

Location:

YEMEN

Their resumption follows President Abd Rabbu Mansour Hadi's decision to suspend his government's participation in protest at the Huthi forces' seizure of a military base north of…