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Structural problems threaten fast Hungarian growth

Location:

HUNGARY

After decades of delayed structural transition, Prime Minister Viktor Orban's government is presenting recent rapid growth as evidence of its successful management of the economy…

Eastern EU may target those vulnerable to inflation

Location:

EU

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine cut the supply of major staples to the Baltic states and the Visegrad Four (V4: Czechia, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia). Local factors, such as import…

High inflation will curb Baltic growth rates in 2022

Location:

BALTIC STATES

Between the beginning of 2021 and April 2022, inflation in the three Baltic states went from near-zero to double digits. The acceleration was initiated by higher energy prices in…

Euro-area activity will slow sharply or even contract

Location:

EU

The euro-area is highly exposed to the fallout from the Ukraine war, and higher commodity prices for a longer period will squeeze the disposable incomes of households and firms…

Ukraine war will hurt Turkey’s economy

Location:

TURKEY

The conflict in Ukraine is a threat to Turkey’s economy. The lira has weakened again, which will push inflation above 60%. Ankara has condemned Moscow’s invasion but is seeking…

Ukraine crisis exacerbates Europe's inflation concerns

Location:

EUROPE

Concerns over energy supply from Russia increase the chances that inflationary pressures will persist throughout 2022, potentially worsening the cost-of-living crisis in many…

Landslide win gives Putin six more years

Location:

RUSSIA

Putin won 87% of the vote on 74% turnout, surpassing the 68% seen in 2018. Communist candidate Nikolai Kharitonov came second with just under 4%. Scattered opposition protests and…

Ukraine will worsen existing Latin American weaknesses

Location:

LATIN AMERICA

Although many countries in Latin America are net food exporters, the fallout from the war in Ukraine is set to have a serious impact on a region already disproportionately…

Prospects for the Russian economy in 2023

Location:

PROSPECTS 2023

Prospects for the Russian economy in 2023.

Ukraine crisis will bring heavy costs for Europe

Location:

EU

The sanctions amount to a middle-of-the-road approach: leaders agreed to keep Russia in the SWIFT payment system and avoid targeting Russian energy exports. They will not cause…