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COVID-19 crisis will test Ghanaian fiscal discipline

Location:

GHANA

Ghanaian economic shocks.

Virus storm will erode Hungarian government’s position

Location:

HUNGARY

Fidesz faces an election in spring 2022. The spectre of a weaker position in the EU and increased EU scrutiny on Hungary’s rule of law record could deal the party further blows…

Greek GDP will plunge despite latest stimulus package

Location:

GREECE

The speech set out the government’s economic policy guidelines for the remainder of 2020 and 2021, largely extending the package of fiscal measures in place since April 2020…

Inflation and deficits may upset Hungary’s economy

Location:

HUNGARY

Hungary’s inflation rate was the EU’s highest in spring 2021. Spending promises and tax cuts ahead of elections due by spring 2022 are widening the budget deficit. Prime…

Mexican fiscal orthodoxy to be maintained amid crisis

Location:

MEXICO

Public finances have not so far deteriorated as dramatically as they might have done, considering the economic contraction caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. This is explained…

Hungary’s pandemic measures will entrench ruling party

Location:

HUNGARY

While the government's communications focus on how to stop the pandemic and make the economy more resilient, some of its recent spending decisions seem unrelated to tackling…

Divided ANC undermines Ramaphosa’s capacity to govern

Location:

SOUTH AFRICA

These challenges are interlinked, and all threaten Ramaphosa’s standing over the medium term. They also influence Ramaphosa’s ability to manage an intensely divided ANC, with…

COVID-19 adds to Afghan fiscal and political pressures

Location:

AFGHANISTAN

The government is struggling to manage the health crisis and is distracted by peace negotiations, the impending US troop withdrawal and its own factional infighting.

Scottish government launches fresh independence push

Location:

UNITED KINGDOM

Scottish independence drive.

Prospects for Colombia in 2021

Location:

PROSPECTS 2021

The recent relaxation of restrictions has prompted a surge in protests, with pandemic impacts compounding many pre-existing grievances. While matters look set to begin improving…