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Risk of financial instability in Russia rising slowly

Location:

RUSSIA

The resumption of inflation is a consequence of soaring domestic demand outstripping supply, especially for war-related goods and services. The CBR is tightening monetary policy…

Russian banks face another tough year in 2023

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RUSSIA

Banking-sector stability is vital for the functioning of the Russian economy: bank credit is facilitating economic restructuring. Although the sector withstood the first impact of…

Many factors will restrict Russia’s recovery in 2023

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RUSSIA

This turnout was a far milder contraction than the many assessments made at the outset of the invasion of Ukraine of its likely impact on the Russian economy. It prompted a public…

Russian financial system will be increasingly fragile

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RUSSIA

Russian banking and finance

Prospects for the Russian economy to end-2016

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PROSPECTS H2 2016

Prospects for the Russian economy to end-2016.

Prospects for the Russian economy to end-2023

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PROSPECTS H2 2023

Despite recent economic stabilisation, future growth prospects are severely limited owing to Russia’s international isolation. A prolonged war in Ukraine would threaten the…

Belarusian economy will depend on Russian support

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BELARUS

The economy has been unexpectedly resilient under comprehensive economic sanctions imposed by the West. Russia could only provide limited support as its economy had to adjust to…

Sanctions will increase risks for Russian economy

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RUSSIA

However, although output has grown, a tight labour market and persistent inflation have created new problems. The reorientation of trade away from Europe has resulted in a…

Smaller trade surplus will keep ruble low this year

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RUSSIA

Pronounced ruble depreciation this year attests to the efficacy of sanctions in disrupting Russia’s external trade. The weaker ruble has already provoked a spike in household…

War in Ukraine will impel Kazakhstan to diversify

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KAZAKHSTAN

Kazakhstan’s economy has weathered well the turbulences created by the war in Ukraine. A new context for the country’s traditional aspirations to balance and diversify economic…