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Prospects for Iran to end-2021

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PROSPECTS H2 2021

Prospects for Iran to end-2021.

Argentina stabilisation plan will prove challenging

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ARGENTINA

With Milei now predicting six months of stagflation and up to two years to reduce inflation from triple digits, dollarisation appears to have been shelved. Instead, he seems…

Iran president vote heralds full conservative control

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IRAN

Two-thirds of legislators in the conservative-dominated parliament today called on four of the five conservative candidates to withdraw in favour of frontrunner Ibrahim Raisi, now…

Maghreb smuggling crackdown may trigger border unrest

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MAGHREB

The growing problem of the informal economy in the Maghreb.

Jordan’s stalled economy risks rising social tensions

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JORDAN

The economy faces chronic problems of low growth, joblessness and declining living standards, resulting in periodic protests. Its heavy dependence on foreign aid, especially from…

Cuban discontent will be muted despite economic woes

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CUBA

At the same time, private businesses have been allowed to import as never before. New privately owned shops caters to those with hard currency, but for most people the economic…

Prospects for Iran in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

The government will seek to boost turnout without opening up any more political or social space, and conservatives will maintain their thorough monopoly of power. However…

Kazakhstan will reassure investors as reforms unfold

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KAZAKHSTAN

The 'new deal' programme includes both short- and long-term reforms aimed at redressing the main failings of the Nazarbayev era. The Tokayev administration is pledging to launch…

Castro's Cuba reforms to face pressure on all fronts

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CUBA

The release of the 32-page document follows the historic visit of US President Barack Obama in March, and the PCC congress in April, which the government used to reaffirm the…

Haiti faces increased challenges on all fronts

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HAITI

Haiti has long struggled with severe socio-political and economic challenges, but the intensification of a multitude of interconnected crises over the last year has destabilised…