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Street pressures will erode elite cohesion in Cuba

Location:

CUBA

The government is nevertheless shaken. Protests were triggered by severe economic hardship, and reflect a loss of public confidence that the government can improve matters. The…

Hungary cannot easily replace lost EU funding

Location:

HUNGARY

EU finance ministers in response postponed decisions on paying Hungary EUR5.8bn under the post-COVID-19 recovery plan, and whether to freeze EUR7.5bn from the ‘cohesion’ funds due…

Delhi’s ties with Muslim world will come under strain

Location:

INDIA

Anti-Muslim discrimination in India amid COVID-19 crisis.

Securitised Middle East COVID-19 responses raise risks

Location:

MIDDLE EAST

The pandemic has compounded existing economic and political crises in Beirut and Baghdad, with the securitisation of the response straining military and state legitimacy…

Opposition weakness will help Polish ruling coalition

Location:

POLAND

At the beginning of 2021, the ZP coalition of the Law and Justice (PiS), Accord and United Poland (SP) parties is stable, but not as strong as it has been in previous years. This…

Prospects for Pakistan in 2022

Location:

PROSPECTS 2022

Separately, the recent Taliban takeover of Afghanistan was a strategic win, given the military-security establishment’s long-standing support for the group. The Taliban’s 'Haqqani…

Castro's Cuba reforms to face pressure on all fronts

Location:

CUBA

The release of the 32-page document follows the historic visit of US President Barack Obama in March, and the PCC congress in April, which the government used to reaffirm the…

Ramaphosa’s government faces social relief dilemmas

Location:

SOUTH AFRICA

The pandemic has sharpened questions about the role of South Africa's extensive social grants system in wider economic policy. In particular, emergency provisions have focused…

Cuba unrest will be muted despite economic woes

Location:

CUBA

Economic recovery is nevertheless weak, marked by a liquidity crisis, shortages and inflation. Monetary reform has not stabilised the Cuban peso and, while a heavy-handed response…