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Prospects for Central America/Caribbean in 2018

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PROSPECTS 2018

Prospects for Central America and the Caribbean in 2018.

Morena triumph in Mexico will drive market uneasiness

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MEXICO

Sheinbaum looks set to continue the economic policies of departing President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO). The electoral triumph has made feasible a constitutional overhaul…

Argentina's policies raise more questions than answers

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ARGENTINA

This followed congressional approval of the government’s ‘base law’ and tax package, designed to strengthen public finances, modernise the labour market and attract foreign…

Economic crisis will drive Cuban diplomatic priorities

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CUBA

In an attempt to quell popular anger over soaring prices, Havana has imposed price caps on the private sector for six basic consumer goods. This may help fight inflation somewhat…

Bullrich may struggle to win Argentine presidency

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ARGENTINA

However, the total vote in the JxC primary was below that of the vote for far-right libertarian Javier Milei, and Bullrich herself was only the third-most-voted presidential…

Inflation 'solution' should help avoid Brazil default

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BRAZIL

Days before this announcement, the government asked Congress to approve a primary deficit of up to 96.65 billion reais (some 1.5% of GDP) for this year. The sharp deterioration in…

Inflation adds to Brazil’s multiple economic woes

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BRAZIL

This is close to the ceiling of the target band of 2.25-5.25% set for this year. In response, the Central Bank last week raised its benchmark interest rate from a record low of…

Cuba will struggle to keep inflation at bay

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CUBA

So far, state-sector price controls and price caps on food and private markets have prevented runaway inflation. However, producers are withholding goods or selling on the black…

Copper will bolster economic improvements in Peru

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PERU

The booming copper industry will stimulate production overall while helping to bolster export earnings and treasury receipts. The Castillo administration has produced proposals…

Cuba's monetary reform will create multiple shocks

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CUBA

The long-postponed move is essential but will send shockwaves through the economy. Inflation and currency flight will soar. Salary and pension hikes will be quickly eaten up by…