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Russia will seek to benefit from the Israel-Hamas war

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RUSSIA

In the wake of the war between Hamas and Israel, Russia has positioned itself as an important player in the Middle East, which can leverage its working relationships with all the…

Israel-Palestinian Hamas Gaza war has deep roots

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PALESTINIANS/ISRAEL

The unusual attack by a member of the premier’s own party references long-standing divisions within Israel’s right wing about the decision to evacuate Gaza settlements nearly two…

Prospects for Middle East conflict in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

Hamas and its allies hope to press Israel to turn back before then, but that is highly unlikely unless Washington changes tack or Israel suffers an internal political crisis. A…

EU Israel-Palestine policy will remain contradictory

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EU

The lack of a clear strategy is systemic, arising from the lack of a functioning common EU foreign policy. Stuck in the parameters of the two-state solution and refusing to…

Prospects for the Arab-Israeli conflict to end-2021

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PROSPECTS H2 2021

Prospects for the Arab-Israeli conflict to end-2021.

Israel will carefully calibrate its Iran retaliation

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ISRAEL

The assault caused almost no damage after a combined air defence including the United States and other allies intercepted nearly all the projectiles. Nonetheless, it was Iran’s…

Blazing Israeli-Palestinian conflict may burn out

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ISRAEL/PALESTINIANS

The latest outbreak of violence follows a gradual rise in localised tensions during the Muslim holy month of Ramadan, mostly centred in Jerusalem. However, it also reflects…

Emirati foreign policy will draw strong criticism

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UNITED ARAB EMIRATES

The conflict has created tensions between the UAE’s leaders and Arab public opinion. Over the longer term, the country’s assertive foreign policy has also drawn criticism from its…

Gaza war will hike Israeli and Mideast gas risk

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MIDDLE EAST

The Israel-Hamas conflict that started on October 7 has had a direct impact on Israel’s gas supply. Following the Hamas attack, the Israeli government stopped production at the…

In the EU, France is uniquely exposed to the Gaza war

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FRANCE

With sizeable Jewish and Arab populations, France is particularly vulnerable to social tension when conflict erupts between Israel and the Palestinians. Politically, the left-wing…