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Israel will struggle to halt Jerusalem violence

Location:

MIDDLE EAST

The violence has raised questions of whether the Palestinians are on the verge of a new uprising against Israeli occupation.

Jordanian protesters will push for more concessions

Location:

JORDAN

The government is suffering a wave of popular anger after its austerity programme caused days of countrywide protests. Changing ministers is a standard royal method to deflect…

Palestinian pressures may undercut Jordanian stability

Location:

JORDAN/PALESTINIANS

The recognition caused outrage across the Arab world, especially in neighbouring Jordan, where it prompted a series of protests, most recently on December 29, with hundreds of…

Risks of a Lebanon-Israel escalation are rising

Location:

LEBANON/ISRAEL

As low-level cross-border exchanges of fire continue, multiple foreign embassies have withdrawn staff or dependents and advised citizens to leave Lebanon.

Prospects for the Arab-Israeli conflict to end-2022

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2022

These have occurred against a background of Israeli and Palestinian government instability and ongoing settlement building in the West Bank. In contrast, wider Arab-Israeli ties…

Failure of Israel’s West Bank law would cause chaos

Location:

ISRAEL

Political manoeuvring had thwarted government efforts to renew the JSL. However, the Knesset’s dissolution on June 29 resulted in the legislation remaining in effect until a new…

South-east Asia may align more with China in near term

Location:

SOUTH-EAST ASIA

A key finding is that 50.5% of respondents would pick China if forced to take sides in US-Chinese rivalry, up from 38.9% in 2023. China continues to be regarded as the most…

Beijing-Washington ties will be competition-based

Location:

CHINA/UNITED STATES

Despite some positive short-term outcomes, the two sides’ read-outs reflect the structural nature of their competition and the limits that this places on cooperation.

Qatar will regain confidence as a regional player

Location:

QATAR

Since the sudden end of the three-and-a-half-year ‘Quartet’ boycott in January, Doha has stepped up efforts to normalise relations with formerly hostile Arab countries. It is also…