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Expert briefing

Publication date: 30 April 2024

North Caucasus will remain under Moscow's control

Location:: RUSSIA

Russia has managed to ensure relative order and stability in the region in recent years, with transfers from the federal budget helping tame local opposition groups that…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB286706

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Russia

RUCIS

Azerbaijan

Turkey

Ukraine

Topical

economy

politics

social

assassination

civil war

decentralisation

emergency

employment

fiscal

government

invasion

investment

nationality

police

policy

poverty

rebellion

war

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 5 February 2024

Strains of war are beginning to show in Russia

Location:: RUSSIA

The invasion of Ukraine is causing strains in Russian society to show, with opposition to another mobilisation and rising appetite for peace talks. The economy is overheating in…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB284997

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Russia

RUCIS

Ukraine

Topical

international relations

politics

social

debt

election

employment

fiscal

foreign policy

government

invasion

labour

military

opposition

prices

protest

talks

wages

war

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 21 February 2024

Sanctions will increase risks for Russian economy

Location:: RUSSIA

However, although output has grown, a tight labour market and persistent inflation have created new problems. The reorientation of trade away from Europe has resulted in a…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB285374

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Russia

RUCIS

China

Europe

India

Turkey

Topical

economy

industry

international relations

politics

social

growth

banking

bonds

capital flows

consumer

corporate

defence

employment

energy

exchange rate

finance

fiscal

foreign investment

foreign policy

foreign trade

gas

government

invasion

investment

labour

military

monetary

oil

policy

prices

private sector

productivity

property

sanctions

war

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 28 February 2024

Tehran will prioritise conservative consolidation

Location:: IRAN

Many centrist and reformist candidates have been disqualified or declined to stand. This, together with the poor state of the economy and resentment over money spent abroad on…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB285528

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Iran

ME/NAF

United States

Topical

economy

politics

social

election

government

opposition

security

exchange rate

fiscal

foreign policy

military

monetary

nuclear weapons

poverty

sanctions

war

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 27 February 2024

Militarisation will cause rising distortions in Russia

Location:: RUSSIA

Record levels of defence spending have led to surging demand for inputs used to manufacture military equipment, driving up output across various sectors. However, evidence of…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB285498

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Russia

RUCIS

NATO

Ukraine

Topical

economy

industry

international relations

politics

social

banking

defence

employment

energy

finance

fiscal

growth

invasion

investment

labour

manufacturing

military

monetary

oil

prices

sanctions

security

war

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 17 November 2023

Prospects for India in 2024

Location:: PROSPECTS 2024

Meanwhile, the government and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) both expect 6.5% GDP growth in the fiscal year ending March 2024, which would put the country among the top economic…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB283429

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

India

Australia

China

G20

Israel

Japan

Palestinians

Russia

Ukraine

United States

PROSPECTS 2024

Topical

economy

industry

international relations

politics

social

election

foreign policy

growth

party

agriculture

bonds

corporate

food

oil

terrorism

war

fiscal

banking

government

monetary

prices

religion

summit

talks

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 13 December 2023

The Gaza war will worsen Jordan’s long-term debt risk

Location:: JORDAN

He was speaking at the signing ceremony for the first USD845mn grant bolstering the national budget, under a new agreement signed this year. The Gaza war has exacerbated concerns…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB283977

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Jordan

ME/NAF

IMF-World Bank

Palestinians

United States

Topical

economy

debt

fiscal

foreign trade

tourism

industry

international relations

social

balance of payments

energy

growth

private sector

public sector

war

welfare

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 18 December 2023

Spain will pursue a ‘progressive’ policy agenda

Location:: SPAIN

The government’s headline policy promises are to be financed by higher taxes and EU funds, while observing the EU's excessive deficit limit. The government’s most contentious and…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB284080

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Spain

EUR

Israel

Palestinians

Topical

economy

international relations

politics

social

fiscal

foreign policy

government

party

policy

regional

constitution

immigration

pensions

security

transport

wages

war

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 11 September 2023

Fading support for Ukraine will affect EU policymaking

Location:: EU

This suggests a growing disconnect within European society from the realities of the war and a decrease in the perceived threat posed by Russia. This outcome reflects heightened…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB281831

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

EUR

Bulgaria

Hungary

Romania

Slovakia

Andorra

Baltic states

Czech Republic

NATO

Poland

Russia

Ukraine

United States

Topical

economy

industry

international relations

politics

social

foreign policy

refugees

sanctions

security

war

aid

border conflict

election

fiscal

integration

invasion

labour

media

military

party

water

welfare

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 15 June 2023

Pragmatism will sustain Italy’s support for Ukraine

Location:: ITALY

Allies feared that the election of Meloni and her populist right-wing government last September would threaten Western unity over Ukraine. However, Meloni has used the issue to…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB279833

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Italy

Ukraine

EUR

Topical

industry

international relations

politics

social

foreign policy

government

military

party

war

economy

corporate

fiscal

immigration

population

prices

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Expert briefing (57)

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