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Expert briefing
Publication date: 21 June 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The announcement comes on the back of relatively tight fiscal policies and economic growth that outperforms EU peers. Yet the bullish macroeconomic picture has not translated into…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 4 June 2024
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Issues such as soaring inflation, currency depreciation and debt repayment problems are having a major impact on the economy. The World Bank estimates that GDP grew by 3.7% in…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 23 May 2024
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A key driving factor was soaring government consumption ahead of the February general election, which included the race to succeed Joko ‘Jokowi’ Widodo as president, won by…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 15 April 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The two parties associated with him are currently in the minority in the unicameral legislature. Muizzu came to power after winning last year’s presidential race. He was a…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 1 May 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

President Nayib Bukele is highly popular, having implemented hard-line security policies that have reduced murder rates dramatically. He was re-elected in February by a landslide…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 15 February 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Real GDP surged by 15% in 2021 and 12% in 2022, then by 4% in 2023. With inflation easing, risks of social instability have probably fallen over the past year, but growth looks…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 22 December 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

According to the constitution, the next presidential election must take place in September-October 2024, but parliamentary polls are not due until 2025. Wickremesinghe is heavily…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 7 September 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The new prime minister, Srettha Thavisin of the Pheu Thai Party, has taken the additional role of finance minister, promising to implement key campaign promises regarding the…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 29 August 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The Middle East has been a key market in the post-pandemic rebound in global tourism, boosted by one-off events in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) in 2022. GCC states are…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 29 March 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

ASEAN's growth is nevertheless expected to outpace global growth, of which China and India are expected to contribute more than 50% -- India about 15% and China around 35%.

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