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Expert briefing
Publication date: 21 February 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

However, although output has grown, a tight labour market and persistent inflation have created new problems. The reorientation of trade away from Europe has resulted in a…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 17 November 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for India in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

Meanwhile, the government and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) both expect 6.5% GDP growth in the fiscal year ending March 2024, which would put the country among the top economic…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 8 June 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for Eastern EU to end-2023

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PROSPECTS H2 2023

Governments will rely on EU funding to re-energise their countries' economies, compensating for slowing external demand and depressed consumption. The war in Ukraine will…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 December 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Central-East European (CEE) economies grow faster than most in good times but are more vulnerable in bad times, lacking the political and financial capital and competences to…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 17 May 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Inflation has subsided owing to base effects. War, sanctions, geopolitical isolation and economic restructuring have already undermined population living standards, with poorer…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 8 March 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The statistical office’s provisional estimate surpassed expectations and confirmed that Poland’s diversified economy, backed by government measures, had weathered the supply…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 1 February 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Radev’s dominance in Bulgarian politics is secure at least until the end of April. Galab Donev, a close confidant of his, is slated for reappointment as interim prime minister.

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 25 February 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The sanctions amount to a middle-of-the-road approach: leaders agreed to keep Russia in the SWIFT payment system and avoid targeting Russian energy exports. They will not cause…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 17 March 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The UK economy is not as directly exposed to the conflict as other European countries, but economic weakness in the EU will have knock-on effects for the United Kingdom. The…

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