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1 – 10 of 176The property crisis is at the heart of the slowdown, creating spillovers to almost all other sectors. Pressure is building on the government to implement more stimulus or risk…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB288603
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Disinflation is underway on both sides of the North Atlantic, but it is not yet deeply entrenched, giving both central banks a reason to delay cuts. The ECB must contend with…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB285238
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Behind this workforce expansion is higher immigration that has allowed considerably more new jobs without raising real wages. Immigration explains some of the strength in…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB286716
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Weak trade and fiscal policy constraints suggest global GDP growth will slow somewhat in 2024, with China and the United States losing momentum. Hopes for growth-boosting rate…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB283146
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Geographic
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This creates a clear contextual divide, ahead of consequential European Parliament, US and UK elections in 2024. The inability of the central banks to forecast inflation or growth…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB284164
ISSN: 2633-304X
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The ECB lags behind other major central banks in raising rates; and inflationary pressures are stronger in the euro-area than the United States. This suggests that hopes that…
With inflation lasting longer than expected, worries about the impact on banking may limit the scope for more rate hikes. Equally, a pause could undermine central banks'…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB279348
ISSN: 2633-304X
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ASEAN's growth is nevertheless expected to outpace global growth, of which China and India are expected to contribute more than 50% -- India about 15% and China around 35%.
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB278021
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Core personal consumption expenditure inflation is 4.7% year-on-year, above the 2.0% target. The economy is holding up, with the OECD now forecasting GDP growth of 1.5%, up from…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB276878
ISSN: 2633-304X
Keywords
Geographic
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The identification of the impact of wars and pandemics on interest rates has been difficult for lack of data. Recent research efforts have overcome this. Pandemics tend to push…