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Expert briefing

Publication date: 9 April 2024

Czech-Slovak rift may limit Visegrad effectiveness

Location:: CZECH/SLOVAKIA

The unprecedented move is the first rift since the two countries peacefully parted more than three decades ago. It came soon after the Visegrad Four (V4) of Czechia, Hungary…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB286274

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Czech Republic

Slovakia

EUR

Hungary

Poland

France

Germany

NATO

Russia

Ukraine

United States

CZECH/SLOVAKIA

Topical

industry

international relations

politics

social

foreign policy

government

integration

invasion

talks

arms

bonds

debt

defence

election

exchange rate

fiscal

immigration

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 8 March 2024

Eastern Europe's rate policies diverge with Czech cut

Location:: EASTERN EUROPE

The NBP is not cutting interest rates further partly because of tensions with Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s pro-EU government, following the defeat of the nationalist Law and…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB285741

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Eastern Europe

EUR

Czech Republic

Hungary

Poland

Germany

Topical

economy

politics

government

growth

monetary

policy

prices

bonds

election

exchange rate

fiscal

foreign investment

foreign trade

judicial

legislation

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 21 February 2024

Sanctions will increase risks for Russian economy

Location:: RUSSIA

However, although output has grown, a tight labour market and persistent inflation have created new problems. The reorientation of trade away from Europe has resulted in a…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB285374

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Russia

RUCIS

China

Europe

India

Turkey

Topical

economy

industry

international relations

politics

social

growth

banking

bonds

capital flows

consumer

corporate

defence

employment

energy

exchange rate

finance

fiscal

foreign investment

foreign policy

foreign trade

gas

government

invasion

investment

labour

military

monetary

oil

policy

prices

private sector

productivity

property

sanctions

war

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 20 February 2023

Central Europe may cut rates despite high inflation

Location:: EASTERN EUROPE

Lower wholesale natural gas prices have improved balance-of-payments and fiscal positions and driven down inflation rates in Central Europe (CE). Financial markets are pricing in…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB276156

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Eastern Europe

EUR

Czech Republic

Hungary

Poland

Russia

Ukraine

United States

Topical

economy

industry

international relations

politics

gas

monetary

policy

prices

balance of payments

bonds

election

exchange rate

fiscal

government

invasion

judicial

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 1 September 2023

Weaker ruble will add to inflationary pressures

Location:: RUSSIA

The size of the rate hike attests to the CBR’s determination to tame domestic price rises at all costs, even though this is likely to restrict credit growth and dampen output. The…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB281638

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Russia

RUCIS

Topical

economy

balance of payments

banking

bonds

construction

consumer

corporate

debt

exchange rate

finance

government

monetary

policy

prices

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 23 June 2023

Turkey’s policy uncertainty will worry investors

Location:: TURKEY

The limited rate hike (annual core inflation is running at 47%) has undermined foreign investors’ hopes that President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s new economic team would be free to…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB280020

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Turkey

ME/NAF

Topical

economy

exchange rate

foreign investment

monetary

prices

fiscal

investment

politics

policy

balance of payments

bonds

equities

government

election

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 21 April 2023

Sri Lanka government will shrug off unpopularity

Location:: SRI LANKA

Separately, the IMF’s Executive Board on March 20 approved a four-year, roughly USD3bn Extended Fund Facility for the country. The approval came around ten months after Sri Lanka…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB278564

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Sri Lanka

IMF-World Bank

China

India

Japan

Saint Kitts and Nevis

United States

Topical

economy

international relations

politics

bonds

debt

election

exchange rate

finance

fiscal

government

monetary

opposition

party

protest

reform

strike

talks

banking

employment

food

immigration

judicial

legislation

privatisation

public sector

unions

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 1 February 2023

Turkey’s stock market is set to be highly volatile

Location:: TURKEY

Local investors have used Turkey’s stock market as a hedge against the country’s runaway inflation and government attempts to 'lira-ise' the economy. The market's strong…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB275691

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Turkey

ME/NAF

Topical

economy

bonds

equities

exchange rate

investment

energy

fiscal

monetary

industry

politics

election

government

oil

prices

foreign investment

policy

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 13 February 2023

Turkey’s currency is likely to depreciate in 2023

Location:: TURKEY

The stability of the lira since June 2022 is primarily a result of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s government shoring up the currency despite cutting interest rates. The…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB275967

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Turkey

ME/NAF

Gulf states

Qatar

Saudi Arabia

United Arab Emirates

Topical

economy

balance of payments

capital flows

exchange rate

prices

industry

politics

banking

election

government

monetary

bonds

debt

foreign investment

foreign trade

growth

opposition

policy

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 29 December 2022

Ghana's repayment moratorium may complicate debt talks

Location:: GHANA

The decision applies to Ghana’s Eurobonds, commercial term loans and most of its bilateral debt. It does not apply to multilateral debt. The government, which reached a…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB274952

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Ghana

IMF-World Bank

Topical

economy

international relations

politics

debt

fiscal

foreign investment

talks

industry

government

bonds

exchange rate

foreign trade

gold

oil

soft commodities

unions

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Expert briefing (123)

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