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Expert briefing
Publication date: 30 May 2024
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Germany’s trade and supply-chain dependence on China, and its sizeable corporate investments in the country, are at odds with pressure from both Brussels and Washington to take a…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 31 May 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Opinion polls suggest another inconclusive parliamentary election outcome, although the right-wing Citizens for European Development of Bulgaria (GERB) is projected to win the…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 22 April 2024
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Strong household demand, now restored to pre-war levels, mitigated the impact on GDP of falling exports last year. The consumer market is profoundly changed, with new brands from…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 12 March 2024
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A glut of Ukrainian agricultural products has driven down prices in neighbouring countries, prompting several governments to impose unilateral import bans. Protests by Polish…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 12 January 2024
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Vietnam is Russia’s closest partner in South-east Asia and has refused to criticise Moscow over the Ukraine war. Between 2000 and 2022, Russia accounted for more than 80% of…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 22 November 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The programme includes halting official military aid to Ukraine, as incoming Prime Minister Robert Fico promised during the election campaign. Recent elections in Central Europe…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 7 September 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Most eastern EU societies continue to support Ukraine in its fight for independence, back Western sanctions, the EU and NATO, and view Russia as a security threat, according to a…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 17 July 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The economy has been unexpectedly resilient under comprehensive economic sanctions imposed by the West. Russia could only provide limited support as its economy had to adjust to…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 21 June 2023
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Putin said more would follow by the end of summer or year-end, as a warning to the West against inflicting “strategic defeat” on Russia through its support for Ukraine. Accepting…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 24 August 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The four Visegrad (V4) countries -- Hungary, Czechia, Slovakia and Poland -- have built up gas stocks to prepare for the winter. Once the EU states most dependent on Russian gas…

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