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Expert briefing
Publication date: 1 May 2024
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President Nayib Bukele is highly popular, having implemented hard-line security policies that have reduced murder rates dramatically. He was re-elected in February by a landslide…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 11 March 2024
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As a result of dwindling tax revenue, he also said that state spending would be cut by EUR10bn (USD10.8bn). The government’s forecast for this year is more optimistic than…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 19 February 2024
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Reducing water supplies are an established problem in the area, and recent events highlight long-term mismanagement of the water-supply infrastructure that has allowed the…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 23 February 2024
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Official results should be announced by March 20.
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 13 February 2024
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With ongoing sea-level rise now considered inevitable, and climate change mitigation efforts serving only to limit, rather than avert, the risks, adaptation will be a necessity in…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 4 December 2023
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With Milei now predicting six months of stagflation and up to two years to reduce inflation from triple digits, dollarisation appears to have been shelved. Instead, he seems…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 13 November 2023
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Prospects for Mexico in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO), who legally cannot seek re-election, will focus on promoting his favoured presidential candidate, Claudia Sheinbaum, potentially…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 18 December 2023
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Romania is among the member states liable to the EDP. Although its debt is relatively low at 47.9% of GDP, Romania has wide budget and current account deficits, yet its tax-to-GDP…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 10 November 2023
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It was the most formidable Pacific storm to hit Mexico in at least 30 years, and took both the government and the population largely by surprise. Disaster risk analysis firm Enki…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 14 August 2023
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This is the lowest monthly widening since the start of 2023. Hungary aims to curb its 3.9% of GDP budget deficit in order to avoid being placed under the EU’s Excessive Deficit…

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