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Ethiopia’s Amhara conflict may be protracted

Location:

ETHIOPIA

Following an extension of the state of emergency in February, new army offensives, including around the regional capital, Bahir Dar, have intensified the conflict. Reports of…

Peace in Ethiopia’s Tigray region remains fragile

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ETHIOPIA

The meeting comes amid escalating rhetoric over the failure to implement key aspects of the agreement, and warnings of the risk of famine and even the potential for renewed…

Power struggle mars Somalia’s constitutional reform

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SOMALIA

The proposals must be approved in a referendum but have already drawn opposition accusations of a power grab by the president. Most notably, Puntland’s president has said his…

Elite deals prop up Kenya’s weak political stability

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KENYA

Among other things, the three leaders discussed Odinga’s ambitions to become chairman of the African Union (AU) Commission. Alongside reform proposals made by a National Dialogue…

Conflict may intensify after failed Ethiopia-OLA talks

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ETHIOPIA

This was the second attempt at resolving the intractable conflict in Oromia that has killed thousands and displaced millions. Moreover, hopes of a resolution this time had been…

Weak opposition will buy Nigeria's Tinubu time

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NIGERIA

Nevertheless, it remains mired in many of the same basic governance and security challenges that derailed its predecessors. There is little evidence that it has a plan to address…

Ethiopia’s Amhara conflict is likely to persist

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ETHIOPIA

There are growing calls for the parties to negotiate a peaceful resolution to the conflict, but little sign that any such process is imminent.

Flawed Sierra Leone vote will bring few consequences

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SIERRA LEONE

Bio won with 56.2% of the vote, just above the 55% threshold required to win in the first round. The SLPP won 81 of the 135 directly elected parliamentary seats. However…

Amhara unrest may be an inflection point for Ethiopia

Location:

ETHIOPIA

The government has deployed the army and claims to have restored control in most major cities. However, the fighting has shaken confidence in Ethiopia’s stability.

Political uncertainty fans unrest in Sudan’s periphery

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SUDAN

The violence first erupted in July, but flared again in October and November. Moreover, it is by no means an isolated development, but mirrors new episodes of inter-communal…