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Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 May 2024

After redeeming much of its USD2bn Eurobond in February, the government has effectively dispelled fears of a default. Nevertheless, it remains under pressure to consolidate public…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB286934

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 31 May 2024

His Modern Revolutionary Party (PRM) did similarly well, securing its largest-ever Senate majority and taking a majority in the Chamber of Deputies. Success was built on a strong…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 May 2024

The government is highly dependent on steady GDP growth to meet its pledges on deficit-reduction and tax cuts. It was forced to implement EUR10bn (USD10.7bn) in emergency cuts in…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB286935

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 14 May 2024

Their economic proposals are intended to impress voters but seem largely uncosted and risk generating unrealistic expectations of the winner. Polling points to a clear victory for…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB287016

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 13 May 2024

Of those, 8.7 million, or 4% of the population, went hungry. This represents a substantial drop from recent years, thanks to a mix of policy action and positive economic…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB286887

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 May 2024

Islamabad now seeks a larger, longer-term bailout programme with the Fund. Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb has suggested that a staff-level agreement on such a package could…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 20 May 2024

The surpluses seen this year and last have proved an unexpected bonus for Labor and will enable a modest spending increase as the party prepares for the general election due by…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB287122

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 20 May 2024

The League’s support has plummeted over the past few years, compounded by poor results in regional elections earlier this year. Internal critics are also increasingly…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB287127

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 21 May 2024

The budget deficit is increasing markedly and will probably top 6% of GDP in 2024 -- the highest level since the late 1980s -- while economic growth remains in the 2-3% range.

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB287151

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 10 May 2024

Mulino assumed the candidacy late in the race, after former President Ricardo Martinelli (2009-14) was disqualified over a corruption conviction. The new president will face…

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