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Ecuador IMF deal will stoke sociopolitical tensions

Location:

ECUADOR

The agreement will last for 48 months and includes an immediate disbursement of USD1bn. It will provide much-needed, short-term fiscal relief for the government and increase…

MAS rift looks set to worsen further in Bolivia

Location:

BOLIVIA

The situation risks turning into a severe constitutional crisis with the legislature and judiciary challenging one another. Morales has once again defied a judicial veto on his…

Maintaining Brazil growth will remain a key challenge

Location:

BRAZIL

The reading, above market expectations, was largely supported by higher investment and household consumption amid a more benign environment of falling unemployment, inflation and…

Mexico’s budgetary pressures will keep growing

Location:

MEXICO

The budget deficit is increasing markedly and will probably top 6% of GDP in 2024 -- the highest level since the late 1980s -- while economic growth remains in the 2-3% range.

China trade deal has pros and cons for Ecuador

Location:

ECUADOR

The deal, which was finalised under former President Guillermo Lasso (2021-23) and approved by the National Assembly in February, promises improved access to expanding Chinese…

Market concentration will remain high in Latin America

Location:

LATIN AMERICA

Markets in the region are characterised by the dominance of a small number of large firms, and the Bank believes that governments can spur growth by strengthening competition…

Climate change poses power risks in Central America

Location:

CENTRAL AMERICA

Rising temperatures and reduced rainfall have strained power systems across Central America in recent months, with hydroelectric dams generating less power while demand rises…

Paraguay-Brazil Itaipu deal will not ease concerns

Location:

PARAGUAY/BRAZIL

Paraguay will now sell energy from the binational hydroelectric dam to Brazil at a higher price until 2026, after which the price will drop by half. The renegotiation of Annex C…

Mexico candidates’ economic plans are overly ambitious

Location:

MEXICO

Their economic proposals are intended to impress voters but seem largely uncosted and risk generating unrealistic expectations of the winner. Polling points to a clear victory for…

Corruption to present ongoing challenges in Mexico

Location:

MEXICO

The view that corruption has worsened in recent years is nevertheless widespread, and jadedness with past promises looks likely to undermine faith in the credibility of the latest…