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Risks will outweigh recovery chances in Eastern Europe

Location:

EASTERN EUROPE

The economic environment has been dictated by Russia’s war in Ukraine and its market and policy implications. Next year, the prospects for the V4 economies are moderately upbeat…

After a strong year for Australia, growth will slow

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AUSTRALIA

This figure is higher than the RBA’s forecast of 1.5%, as labour demand remains strong and business investment resumes as supply chain disruption subsides. However, persistent…

Ukrainian grain dispute is likely to drag on

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UKRAINE

A glut of Ukrainian agricultural products has driven down prices in neighbouring countries, prompting several governments to impose unilateral import bans. Protests by Polish…

Belarusian economic recovery may not last

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BELARUS

At first glance, the economic performance observed last year seems impressive. However, the robust growth rate concealed many of the country's endemic economic flaws. Much of the…

Risks to the recovering Ukrainian economy will rise

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UKRAINE

The economy has recovered somewhat from the one-third contraction in 2022 caused by Russia's invasion. Government spending, mainly on defence, dominates but agriculture has…

Key Indian development target is highly challenging

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INDIA

The target is associated with reaching GDP of USD30tn, compared with less than USD4tn currently. Modi, in power since 2014, appears on course to win a third straight term.

Gold rally has momentum but miners will miss out

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INTERNATIONAL

The 18% increase since the beginning of the year has been fuelled by expectations of monetary easing, recurrent geopolitical tensions, Chinese economic woes, and greater…

Singapore’s new leader will likely face poll test soon

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SINGAPORE

In his swearing-in speech, he said “the more experienced ministers” would “provide continuity” but also warned that Singapore would be “vulnerable to external influences” pulling…

Egypt's economy will stand on firmer ground

Location:

EGYPT

Its actions included floating the currency, which triggered a major devaluation, and a 600-basis point increase in its benchmark interest rate to 27.75%. Meanwhile, the government…

Turkey plans for competitive industries, lower imports

Location:

TURKEY

Development plans define what constitutes mainstream social and economic policy in Ankara. This plan lays out the intentions of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s Justice and…