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Taiwan-China tensions will continue to rise

Location:

TAIWAN/CHINA

In an apparent expansion of its claims in the Taiwan Strait, China has responded by increasing patrols near Kinmen. The Chinese coast guard on February 19 boarded a Taiwanese…

Turkish foreign policy will seek a power balance

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TURKEY

Turkey’s confrontation with the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) is a key driver of regional and to some extent international policy. Erdogan’s comfortable victory in the May 2023…

Russia’s influence in Central Asia will wane

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CENTRAL ASIA

During his meeting with his Kazakh counterpart Kassym-Jomart Tokayev in Astana, Putin called the two countries “not just allies, but very close allies”. A month earlier, Putin had…

China will boost grain supplies

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CHINA

President Xi Jinping has repeatedly cited food security as one of his top strategic priorities. Amid geopolitical tensions and global supply chain disruption, recent years have…

Costa Rica's medical device sector will grow further

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COSTA RICA

Precision and medical equipment has been the country’s largest export sector since 2017. It maintained that position in 2023, achieving 28% growth year-on-year and contributing…

Beijing-ASEAN South China Sea tensions will grow

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CHINA/ASEAN

While there is always potential for unplanned escalation, recent incidents in the area are unlikely to change the basic dynamics there: China’s increasing assertion of ‘on-water’…

ASEAN-Australia relations will grow

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ASEAN/AUSTRALIA

Besides a leaders’ plenary and retreat, there were events linked to four thematic tracks: business; climate and clean energy; maritime cooperation; and emerging leaders…

China’s defence spending will remain stable

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CHINA

Defence spending will account for 1.2% of GDP in 2024, having remained stable at around this figure for at least the past two decades. Nevertheless, outside estimates of China’s…

Myanmar junta is at a crossroads

Location:

MYANMAR

The military government has in recent months lost considerable territory to its battlefield opponents, including ethnic armed organisations (EAOs) that have long fought the…

US foreign policy rhetoric may mask closer positions

Location:

UNITED STATES

This year’s campaign rhetoric will amply differences between the two presidential candidates. Distinctions between them are stark on many issues, but in some areas of foreign…