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Turkish foreign policy will seek a power balance

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TURKEY

Turkey’s confrontation with the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) is a key driver of regional and to some extent international policy. Erdogan’s comfortable victory in the May 2023…

Putin’s visit to China reveals economic limits

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RUSSIA

Both sides vowed to coordinate their responses to what they describe as a US-led policy ‘dual containment’ directed at Moscow and Beijing, strengthening the impression of a united…

Vietnam will rethink its relations with Russia

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VIETNAM

Vietnam is Russia’s closest partner in South-east Asia and has refused to criticise Moscow over the Ukraine war. Between 2000 and 2022, Russia accounted for more than 80% of…

ASEAN will pursue incremental engagement in Myanmar

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MYANMAR

Myanmar’s junta for the first time accepted the invitation to have a ‘non-political’ representative at high-level ASEAN meetings, standing since its exclusion from such events…

Post-poll turmoil may worsen Pakistan’s economic woes

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PAKISTAN

The elections, resulting in a fractured mandate and marred by allegations of rigging, have increased polarisation. Separately, Pakistan’s nine-month, roughly USD3bn Stand-By…

Uzbekistan will seek more Chinese investment

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UZBEKISTAN

In late January, Uzbek President Shavkat Mirziyoyev paid a state visit to China to seek greater investment and trade opportunities. Mirziyoyev’s visit is the culmination of years…

The EU will encounter obstacles in the South Caucasus

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CAUCASUS

This follows years of the region being regarded as of peripheral interest to Brussels. Nonetheless, relations have not always been smooth.

Baku will resist a quick peace deal with Armenia

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ARMENIA

The latest round of talks between Armenia and Azerbaijan in Geneva on March 22 ended without any concrete progress on negotiations over a bilateral peace agreement. The meeting…

Brunei will step up efforts to diversify economy

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BRUNEI

The IMF recently recommended structural reforms to bolster the economy, which has struggled to recover from the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. Brunei has long been reliant on…

COP28 actions will fall short of Paris goals

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INTERNATIONAL

Hopes of a leap forward in implementing the 2015 Paris Agreement largely fell flat, despite a historic acknowledgement of the need to “transition away” from fossil fuels in order…