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Zelensky will retain power despite legitimacy concerns

Location:

UKRAINE

President Volodymyr Zelensky’s original five-year term legally expired last week. The absence of a presidential election -- effectively ruled out by the ongoing war -- has allowed…

Elite deals prop up Kenya’s weak political stability

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KENYA

Among other things, the three leaders discussed Odinga’s ambitions to become chairman of the African Union (AU) Commission. Alongside reform proposals made by a National Dialogue…

Turkish foreign policy will seek a power balance

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TURKEY

Turkey’s confrontation with the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) is a key driver of regional and to some extent international policy. Erdogan’s comfortable victory in the May 2023…

Ukraine’s EU membership will not be fast-tracked

Location:

EU

This is a morale booster for Kyiv, but a lengthy accession procedure, likely vetoes from pro-Russian or Ukrainian-neutral governments, and uncertainty over the war’s course will…

Poland’s policy on farm protests may shift after polls

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POLAND

The latest protests coincide with the Donald Tusk government’s first 100 days and scrutiny of his performance as prime minister. Most polls indicate continuing support for the…

Albanian premier faces tough year ahead of elections

Location:

ALBANIA

The PD has started healing some of the rifts that have divided it for nearly three years. Nevertheless, Prime Minister Edi Rama’s Socialist Party (PS) is favourite to win…

Czech-Slovak rift may limit Visegrad effectiveness

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CZECH/SLOVAKIA

The unprecedented move is the first rift since the two countries peacefully parted more than three decades ago. It came soon after the Visegrad Four (V4) of Czechia, Hungary…

Dinar ban will damage EU-led Kosovo-Serbia dialogue

Location:

KOSOVO

A Central Bank regulation reaffirming the euro as sole legal tender has alarmed Kosovo’s Serbs who see it as a direct threat to their existence and is jeopardising already complex…

South Africa's ANC faces difficult coalition choices

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SOUTH AFRICA

This forces all five major parties to negotiate choices for cooperation. Such are the perceived incompatibilities between them that the choices will be very difficult, with…

Bhutan’s new government may find itself stretched thin

Location:

BHUTAN

The People’s Democratic Party (PDP) was the winner. Poll campaigning was dominated by debate over the economic headwinds facing the small Himalayan kingdom, which lies between…