Search results

Belarus will remain a dictatorship after Lukashenka

Location:

BELARUS

Lukashenka has constructed a highly centralised and authoritarian system built on strong relations with Moscow. However, hopes for a more democratically inclined successor are…

Gulf legislatures will fail to boost their authority

Location:

GULF STATES

The functions, authorities and memberships of those bodies, however, vary widely. The development of each depended on the real or perceived threat of political opposition, the…

Sudan's civil war will grind on

Location:

SUDAN

Thousands of combatants and civilians have been killed, over 8 million people (around one-fifth of the population) have been displaced and 18 million face severe acute food…

Australia's Liberals are not testing the government

Location:

AUSTRALIA

Labor was concerned about losing Dunkley ahead of next year’s general election. However, although the Liberal-Nationals Coalition, the main opposition grouping, managed to…

Burkina Faso will tightly control Russian presence

Location:

BURKINA FASO

Meanwhile, junta leader Captain Ibrahim Traore’s increasingly evident desire to hang onto power indefinitely is having dire domestic repercussions, including a muzzled press, a…

Ethiopia’s Amhara conflict may be protracted

Location:

ETHIOPIA

Following an extension of the state of emergency in February, new army offensives, including around the regional capital, Bahir Dar, have intensified the conflict. Reports of…

Hezbollah's fight will hamper Lebanese secularists

Location:

LEBANON

This followed a cyberattack at the airport that promulgated a warning against Shia political-military movement Hezbollah and its escalation against Israel. The Forces of Change…

Ethiopia’s Amhara conflict is likely to persist

Location:

ETHIOPIA

There are growing calls for the parties to negotiate a peaceful resolution to the conflict, but little sign that any such process is imminent.

Local elections will do little for Turkey's Kurds

Location:

TURKEY

The Kurds remain under constant pressure, with controlled parameters for political and social expression, including via a politically dominated judicial system. Kurdish alienation…

Gaza will strain but not break Gulf-Iranian detente

Location:

GULF STATES

While tensions across the region have risen sharply, Gulf and Iranian officials have engaged in regular and high-level dialogue that has so far prevented a wider conflagration…