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ASEAN-Australia relations will grow

Location:

ASEAN/AUSTRALIA

Besides a leaders’ plenary and retreat, there were events linked to four thematic tracks: business; climate and clean energy; maritime cooperation; and emerging leaders…

Rupture of accord will raise Seoul-Pyongyang tensions

Location:

NORTH KOREA/SOUTH KOREA

An unrelated ballistic missile test shortly afterwards failed. Seoul responded by partially suspending September 2018’s North-South military agreement -- whereupon Pyongyang…

Vietnam will rethink its relations with Russia

Location:

VIETNAM

Vietnam is Russia’s closest partner in South-east Asia and has refused to criticise Moscow over the Ukraine war. Between 2000 and 2022, Russia accounted for more than 80% of…

Pyongyang’s Beijing and Moscow ties will be complex

Location:

NORTH KOREA/CHINA/RUSSIA

The PoE has since 2009 reported regularly on North Korea’s violations of UN Security Council (UNSC) sanctions. Beijing and Moscow are resisting an ineffective UN sanctions…

South-east Asia may align more with China in near term

Location:

SOUTH-EAST ASIA

A key finding is that 50.5% of respondents would pick China if forced to take sides in US-Chinese rivalry, up from 38.9% in 2023. China continues to be regarded as the most…

Eased travel to China will have limited success

Location:

CHINA

Measures include relaxed visa requirements and improved payment options. Visitors from some European and South-east Asian countries have joined a group of 17 other countries that…

Asia ‘ex-China’ investment will struggle for traction

Location:

ASIA

There is sizeable demand for financial assets and products in Asia that exclude China. However, investor expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will not cut interest rates…

Politics may roil Seoul’s recovery and policy plans

Location:

SOUTH KOREA

The opposition-controlled National Assembly finally passed the 2024 budget on December 21, 19 days after the legal deadline. December also saw a rolling reshuffle which replaced…

Japan’s agricultural exports will increase

Location:

JAPAN

Although agriculture accounts for less than 1% of Japan’s GDP and total employment, its development has come into the focus of public attention amid rising food security concerns.

Tough economic challenges await Taiwan president-elect

Location:

TAIWAN

The election in January of Lai Ching-te as president signalled continuity in economic policy, and economic pressure from Beijing has to date had limited effect. However, Lai faces…