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Ukraine’s EU membership will not be fast-tracked

Location:

EU

This is a morale booster for Kyiv, but a lengthy accession procedure, likely vetoes from pro-Russian or Ukrainian-neutral governments, and uncertainty over the war’s course will…

East Europeans will gain influence on Western security

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EUROPE

She implied that the role should go to someone from Central-Eastern Europe (CEE). Von der Leyen’s message emphasises how far the balance in decision-making on European security…

Riyadh will expand international defence cooperation

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SAUDI ARABIA

These efforts will now be advanced by the German foreign minister's January 7 lifting of a veto on the delivery of Eurofighter aircraft to Riyadh. Berlin had previously opposed…

Russia will cement its presence in Abkhazia

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GEORGIA

The Russian Navy has lost several warships and other vessels during its war with Ukraine; its main bases in Crimea are vulnerable. Seemingly this is prompting a reconfiguration of…

Fast Ecuador security wins stoke longer-term issues

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ECUADOR

He declared a state of emergency on January 9, giving the military a central role in tackling the crisis. The militarisation of security policy has reduced crime and increased…

Israel's economic recovery will remain restrained

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ISRAEL

The war in Gaza, which began in October 2023, was initially expected to wind down within a few months, enabling economic activity to return to normal. Instead, the fighting has…

Georgia will face serious obstacles to EU membership

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GEORGIA

Georgia officially embarked on the path to EU membership along with Ukraine and Moldova shortly after Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Despite Tbilisi not meeting the…

Armenia will avoid severing ties with Russia

Location:

ARMENIA

Relations with Moscow have become even more strained since the September 2023 fall of Nagorno-Karabakh, compounding the shock caused by Russia failing to protect Armenia from…