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China’s army will step up reform efforts

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CHINA

This was consistent with a long-running emphasis on preparing the PLA for future warfare that involves new types of informational and technological dynamics. One effect will be to…

Ethiopia’s Amhara conflict may be protracted

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ETHIOPIA

Following an extension of the state of emergency in February, new army offensives, including around the regional capital, Bahir Dar, have intensified the conflict. Reports of…

Washington seeks dialogue to limit damage to ties

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CHINA/UNITED STATES

Washington is attempting to limit a further deterioration in relations ahead of its November elections, while simultaneously stiffening tariffs on China amid an expanding…

Sudan aid response faces capacity challenges

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SUDAN

Collectively, participants pledged some USD2.2bn in humanitarian assistance for Sudan, against an appeal for USD4.1bn from aid agencies.

Taipei will struggle with cross-Strait policy

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TAIWAN

Lai’s victory showed the electorate’s approval of outgoing president Tsai Ing-wen, who avoided armed conflict with China while boosting ties with Washington and its allies. Lai’s…

Beijing-Washington ties will be competition-based

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CHINA/UNITED STATES

Despite some positive short-term outcomes, the two sides’ read-outs reflect the structural nature of their competition and the limits that this places on cooperation.

Baku will resist a quick peace deal with Armenia

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ARMENIA

The latest round of talks between Armenia and Azerbaijan in Geneva on March 22 ended without any concrete progress on negotiations over a bilateral peace agreement. The meeting…

The United States has few good options in Yemen

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YEMEN

Previous US-led strikes had failed to disrupt the Huthis’ ability to strike targets in the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden. There are now indications that the administration is being…

Iraq's militias will move to consolidate power

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IRAQ

The militias have targeted Israel but largely avoided targeting US bases, for fear of Washington's retaliation and to reduce tensions with their own government. The attacks on…

Somalia-Turkey pact adds to growing regional tensions

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SOMALIA/TURKEY

This comes shortly after Ethiopia and Somaliland in January signed a deal offering Ethiopia a naval base in Somaliland in exchange for Ethiopia’s recognition of Somaliland as a…