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WTO now a forum for talks, not unanimous dealmaking

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INTERNATIONAL

The WTO remains the main body determining global trade rules, but increasingly it looks likely to struggle to go beyond mere discussion.

China overcapacity evidence will deepen trade clashes

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INTERNATIONAL

This year's US election is heightening tensions between China and the West over trade and jobs. Evidence of Chinese dumping is mixed: while prices for many high-growth exports…

The entwining of tariffs and US politics will continue

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UNITED STATES

With trade policy, particularly towards China, likely to have an unusually high-profile role in this year’s presidential election, there is a growing awareness of the extent to…

China’s exports will recover but trade sanctions loom

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CHINA

Chinese exports grew by 7.1% year-on-year in US dollar terms, while imports expanded by 3.5%. The trade gap narrowed to USD39.7bn in February. Export growth was buoyed by rapid…

EU will be assertive with new trade defence tools

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EU

First cases pursued under the FSR show it could be one of the most far-reaching of the strategic autonomy measures introduced under this Commission. One Chinese company has…

UK election will determine direction of EU relations

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UNITED KINGDOM/EU

Labour has indicated that, if elected, it would pursue closer regulatory alignment and deals on security and mobility with the EU. The party has denied reports it might consider…

Washington seeks dialogue to limit damage to ties

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CHINA/UNITED STATES

Washington is attempting to limit a further deterioration in relations ahead of its November elections, while simultaneously stiffening tariffs on China amid an expanding…

Tunisia's economic challenges show no sign of abating

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TUNISIA

The economic situation is challenging: unemployment was 16.4% in the fourth quarter of 2023, and work and business opportunities are limited. The government has avoided a debt…

Rabat’s maritime sector will help geopolitical aims

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MOROCCO

Existing conditions facilitate this: the country's open economy is highly dependent on foreign trade, it enjoys access to Mediterranean and Atlantic routes and ongoing…

Israel's economic recovery will remain restrained

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ISRAEL

The war in Gaza, which began in October 2023, was initially expected to wind down within a few months, enabling economic activity to return to normal. Instead, the fighting has…