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South-east Asia may align more with China in near term

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SOUTH-EAST ASIA

A key finding is that 50.5% of respondents would pick China if forced to take sides in US-Chinese rivalry, up from 38.9% in 2023. China continues to be regarded as the most…

China’s army will step up reform efforts

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CHINA

This was consistent with a long-running emphasis on preparing the PLA for future warfare that involves new types of informational and technological dynamics. One effect will be to…

Baku will resist a quick peace deal with Armenia

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ARMENIA

The latest round of talks between Armenia and Azerbaijan in Geneva on March 22 ended without any concrete progress on negotiations over a bilateral peace agreement. The meeting…

Scandals will not force Ugandan president into reform

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UGANDA

This came after the UK government imposed sanctions on Among and two other ministers over allegations of corruption, which would reportedly affect properties Among allegedly owns…

ASEAN-Australia relations will grow

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ASEAN/AUSTRALIA

Besides a leaders’ plenary and retreat, there were events linked to four thematic tracks: business; climate and clean energy; maritime cooperation; and emerging leaders…

Israeli-Arab normalisation will freeze, not reverse

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ISRAEL/MIDDLE EAST

Deepening Gulf-Israel normalisation -- and particularly heavy US-backed efforts to advance a deal between Israel and Saudi Arabia -- set the context for the Hamas attack against…

Scandal may change direction of Uganda’s NUP party

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UGANDA

Mpuuga has been accused of corruption, and Wine and the NUP have called for his resignation. However, Mpuuga has rejected these calls, claiming he is the victim of a political…

Global AI regulations will diverge

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INT

Despite a strong Chinese push on AI innovation, Beijing’s regulatory approach to AI sharply contrasts with the approaches of Western digital economies, notably the United States…

Pakistani Taliban are a growing problem for Islamabad

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PAKISTAN

Islamabad said the strikes were aimed at anti-Pakistan militants, but the Taliban described the action as “reckless” and retaliated by firing at Pakistani troops along the border…

Georgia will face serious obstacles to EU membership

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GEORGIA

Georgia officially embarked on the path to EU membership along with Ukraine and Moldova shortly after Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Despite Tbilisi not meeting the…