Search results

Israeli-Arab normalisation will freeze, not reverse

Location:

ISRAEL/MIDDLE EAST

Deepening Gulf-Israel normalisation -- and particularly heavy US-backed efforts to advance a deal between Israel and Saudi Arabia -- set the context for the Hamas attack against…

China’s army will step up reform efforts

Location:

CHINA

This was consistent with a long-running emphasis on preparing the PLA for future warfare that involves new types of informational and technological dynamics. One effect will be to…

EU will be assertive with new trade defence tools

Location:

EU

First cases pursued under the FSR show it could be one of the most far-reaching of the strategic autonomy measures introduced under this Commission. One Chinese company has…

South-east Asia may align more with China in near term

Location:

SOUTH-EAST ASIA

A key finding is that 50.5% of respondents would pick China if forced to take sides in US-Chinese rivalry, up from 38.9% in 2023. China continues to be regarded as the most…

Uzbekistan will seek more Chinese investment

Location:

UZBEKISTAN

In late January, Uzbek President Shavkat Mirziyoyev paid a state visit to China to seek greater investment and trade opportunities. Mirziyoyev’s visit is the culmination of years…

France’s Ukraine position exposes Western divisions

Location:

FRANCE

Despite criticism from Western allies, Macron’s position has remained firm. This comes against the backdrop of tensions with Germany, upcoming European Parliament elections and…

Turkish foreign policy will seek a power balance

Location:

TURKEY

Turkey’s confrontation with the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) is a key driver of regional and to some extent international policy. Erdogan’s comfortable victory in the May 2023…

Bleak economic indicators will be the norm in Sudan

Location:

SUDAN

Nevertheless, for the first time since the war broke out, the central bank has presented a monetary policy strategy and the finance ministry a budget.

Georgia will face serious obstacles to EU membership

Location:

GEORGIA

Georgia officially embarked on the path to EU membership along with Ukraine and Moldova shortly after Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Despite Tbilisi not meeting the…

Syria’s mild economic recovery faces major constraints

Location:

SYRIA

The economy is not showing serious ill effects from the overspill of the conflict in Gaza or recent aid cuts. The government may even have derived some additional financial…