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Israel-Palestinian Hamas Gaza war has deep roots

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PALESTINIANS/ISRAEL

The unusual attack by a member of the premier’s own party references long-standing divisions within Israel’s right wing about the decision to evacuate Gaza settlements nearly two…

Radical parties look set for vote boosts in Belgium

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BELGIUM

This would be the first victory for the party in Flanders and at the national level. The party has pledged to impose a much stricter immigration policy and push for Flemish…

US aid bill's passage shows foreign policy fault lines

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UNITED STATES

The Biden administration originally introduced the package in October, and its subsequent convoluted, and often stalled, passage through Congress demonstrates a range of complex…

Israel will carefully calibrate its Iran retaliation

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ISRAEL

The assault caused almost no damage after a combined air defence including the United States and other allies intercepted nearly all the projectiles. Nonetheless, it was Iran’s…

Israeli-Arab normalisation will freeze, not reverse

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ISRAEL/MIDDLE EAST

Deepening Gulf-Israel normalisation -- and particularly heavy US-backed efforts to advance a deal between Israel and Saudi Arabia -- set the context for the Hamas attack against…

West Bank instability risks are high

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PALESTINIANS

Even before the attacks of October 7, 2023, tensions were heightened because of settlements, weak Palestinian Authority (PA) governance and militant activities. Hamas and…

India will be vigilant but not worried about al-Qaida

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INDIA

The authorities do not appear especially concerned about the threat posed by the group, but there is sure to be an overall tightening of security during the general election…

South-east Asia may align more with China in near term

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SOUTH-EAST ASIA

A key finding is that 50.5% of respondents would pick China if forced to take sides in US-Chinese rivalry, up from 38.9% in 2023. China continues to be regarded as the most…

Israel's economic recovery will remain restrained

Location:

ISRAEL

The war in Gaza, which began in October 2023, was initially expected to wind down within a few months, enabling economic activity to return to normal. Instead, the fighting has…