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Qatar-US ties could strengthen despite Hamas relations

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QATAR/UNITED STATES

Qatar has played an important mediating role during the ongoing Gaza conflict. Doha was granted Major Non-NATO Ally status in March 2022 in recognition of its contribution to US…

Trade will tighten Gulf-South Korea relations

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GULF STATES/SOUTH KOREA

Previously, in December 2023, South Korea signed a landmark free trade agreement (FTA) with the six-nation Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), only the bloc’s second with a major…

Russia will exploit tension but will not encourage war

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RUSSIA

Russia maintains a delicate balance in the Middle East, preserving a close relationship with Shia-majority Iran and a security presence in neighbouring Syria while seeking…

Turkey-Turkmen-Iranian gas swap could move quickly

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TURKEY/TURKMENISTAN

Europe is increasingly interested in accessing large Turkmen gas reserves, potentially via Turkey, which has reached agreements with Turkmenistan on possible swap deals via Iran…

Iran is approaching the limits of its oil expansion

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IRAN

Iran’s increasingly skilled sanctions evasion (aided by less intense US enforcement) has made it the second-largest contributor to higher global oil output over the past year…

Libya’s Amazigh will bargain hard for more rights

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LIBYA

Prime Minister Abdul Hamid al-Dbeiba hopes to win over Amazigh leaders with the promise of language recognition and other rights, largely to consolidate his position in the…

Limits to Russia’s ties with Turkey will persist

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RUSSIA

Energy ties, already deep, have expanded since 2022 as part of a broader reorientation of Russian commerce away from the West. The similarly authoritarian leadership styles of…

Algeria is set for more renewable energy generation

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ALGERIA

In March, Sonelgaz awarded 19 contracts for the installation of almost 3 gigawatts of solar power generation capacity. Increasing the renewables mix in Algeria's energy balance…