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China trade deal has pros and cons for Ecuador

Location:

ECUADOR

The deal, which was finalised under former President Guillermo Lasso (2021-23) and approved by the National Assembly in February, promises improved access to expanding Chinese…

Mexico’s Sheinbaum looks set to maintain AMLO’s legacy

Location:

MEXICO

The constitution prohibits President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO) from standing again. However, given his continuing personal popularity and dominance of the ruling National…

Mexico candidates’ economic plans are overly ambitious

Location:

MEXICO

Their economic proposals are intended to impress voters but seem largely uncosted and risk generating unrealistic expectations of the winner. Polling points to a clear victory for…

Rapid recovery will prove elusive in Argentina

Location:

ARGENTINA

The primary surplus (0.6% of GDP) was driven by a 35% real fall in primary spending, which offset a recession-induced 4.5% drop in revenues. Month-on-month inflation has also…

Mexico’s budgetary pressures will keep growing

Location:

MEXICO

The budget deficit is increasing markedly and will probably top 6% of GDP in 2024 -- the highest level since the late 1980s -- while economic growth remains in the 2-3% range.