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Georgia will face serious obstacles to EU membership

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GEORGIA

Georgia officially embarked on the path to EU membership along with Ukraine and Moldova shortly after Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Despite Tbilisi not meeting the…

ASEAN-Australia relations will grow

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ASEAN/AUSTRALIA

Besides a leaders’ plenary and retreat, there were events linked to four thematic tracks: business; climate and clean energy; maritime cooperation; and emerging leaders…

Washington seeks dialogue to limit damage to ties

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CHINA/UNITED STATES

Washington is attempting to limit a further deterioration in relations ahead of its November elections, while simultaneously stiffening tariffs on China amid an expanding…

End of post-1945 economic order bodes ill for growth

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INTERNATIONAL

The system of international institutions to promote cooperation and open trade was built on the political preferences of a group of the world's wealthiest states. Over time, the…

Tokyo’s approach to Washington will be dual

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JAPAN

Tokyo is pursuing a dual strategy ahead of the US election in November: to deepen Japan's ties with the Biden administration, while also keeping open channels with Trump and…

Russia will exploit tension but will not encourage war

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RUSSIA

Russia maintains a delicate balance in the Middle East, preserving a close relationship with Shia-majority Iran and a security presence in neighbouring Syria while seeking…

Tokyo and Washington will step up defence cooperation

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JAPAN/US

Kishida and Biden hailed a historic upgrade in defence ties and announced a record volume of around 70 agreements, spanning various sectors.

Algeria will pursue stronger ties in the Sahel

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ALGERIA

In February, President Abdelmadjid Tebboune announced that Algeria is planning free trade zones with Niger and Mali, despite increasingly volatile ties with the latter. That same…

WTO now a forum for talks, not unanimous dealmaking

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INTERNATIONAL

The WTO remains the main body determining global trade rules, but increasingly it looks likely to struggle to go beyond mere discussion.

South-east Asia may align more with China in near term

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SOUTH-EAST ASIA

A key finding is that 50.5% of respondents would pick China if forced to take sides in US-Chinese rivalry, up from 38.9% in 2023. China continues to be regarded as the most…