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Ukraine peace summit reveals global differences

Location:

UKRAINE

The summit set an agenda for future talks but the absence of Russia and China, as well as reduced representation from the Global South, meant that ambitions for the meeting were…

Russia will target expanded BRICS for grain exports

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RUSSIA

The entry into BRICS of Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) -- all major importers of grain -- gives Russia an opportunity permanently to…

End of post-1945 economic order bodes ill for growth

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INTERNATIONAL

The system of international institutions to promote cooperation and open trade was built on the political preferences of a group of the world's wealthiest states. Over time, the…

India will step up economic diplomacy

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INDIA

He has retained S Jaishankar as his foreign minister, in line with a broad trend of preserving continuity within the cabinet. Although his parliamentary majority is reduced and…

Limits to Russia’s ties with Turkey will persist

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RUSSIA

Energy ties, already deep, have expanded since 2022 as part of a broader reorientation of Russian commerce away from the West. The similarly authoritarian leadership styles of…

Russia will strengthen food security measures

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RUSSIA

State intervention has helped the production and export of food products to soar to record levels, with markets in Asia and the Middle East replacing those of Europe. These…

Russia will exploit tension but will not encourage war

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RUSSIA

Russia maintains a delicate balance in the Middle East, preserving a close relationship with Shia-majority Iran and a security presence in neighbouring Syria while seeking…

South Korea may seek nuclear weapons

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SOUTH KOREA

Yoon had controversially raised that prospect a year ago. Han Dong-hoo -- head of Yoon’s conservative ruling People Power Party (PPP), and a likely future presidential contender…

China’s defence spending will remain stable

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CHINA

Defence spending will account for 1.2% of GDP in 2024, having remained stable at around this figure for at least the past two decades. Nevertheless, outside estimates of China’s…

East Asian trilateralism will mitigate polarisation

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EAST ASIA

Economic ties between the countries have deepened in recent years, although trilateral summits were on hold since 2019 due to the pandemic and political disputes. The latest…