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Pressure on Japan’s prime minister will mount

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JAPAN

This hurts Prime Minister Fumio Kishida’s credibility within the LDP and the wider nation. A change of government following the next general election would be the first in over…

Ukraine’s EU membership will not be fast-tracked

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EU

This is a morale booster for Kyiv, but a lengthy accession procedure, likely vetoes from pro-Russian or Ukrainian-neutral governments, and uncertainty over the war’s course will…

Gaza overspill is a possible risk to Balkan security

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BALKANS

After an incident in late September that left one Kosovar police officer and three Serbian gunmen dead, the dispute over Kosovo’s sovereignty has become more dangerous, prompting…

AfD surge will pose dilemmas for CDU in Germany

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GERMANY

It was the first time the party has reached such levels nationally. The poll is consistent with other surveys, which show that the party’s support has risen from around 10% to…

Popular ire may upset ZANU-PF's Zimbabwe election plan

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ZIMBABWE

The ruling ZANU-PF party appears to be trying to control the campaign and outcome to a much greater extent than in 2018. However, this effort is being complicated by record levels…

South-east Asia may align more with China in near term

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SOUTH-EAST ASIA

A key finding is that 50.5% of respondents would pick China if forced to take sides in US-Chinese rivalry, up from 38.9% in 2023. China continues to be regarded as the most…

Anti-disinformation approaches will proliferate

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INT

However, these efforts are neither universally applied nor commonly accepted. The proliferation of frameworks to combat disinformation demonstrates shared motivations among…

France’s domestic climate agenda will be cautious

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FRANCE

This highlights government sensitivity to sectoral concerns about climate change regulation and reflects President Emmanuel Macron’s broader strategy of seeking incentives rather…

Hungary may stop delaying Sweden joining NATO soon

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HUNGARY

Orban made the announcement during his annual State of the Nation address. For 18 months, Budapest has delayed ratifying Sweden’s NATO membership, over Stockholm's criticism of…

Dutch polls favour right-wing parties

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NETHERLANDS

The centre-right Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD) and the recently established New Social Contract (NSC) are leading in the polls. Close behind them is the GreenLeft-Labour…