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NATO will integrate Ukraine gradually

Location:

NATO

Intensified cooperation with NATO, including arms transfers and intelligence sharing, has led to a significant upgrade of Ukraine’s military capabilities and capacity to fight…

Vietnam will rethink its relations with Russia

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VIETNAM

Vietnam is Russia’s closest partner in South-east Asia and has refused to criticise Moscow over the Ukraine war. Between 2000 and 2022, Russia accounted for more than 80% of…

East Europeans will gain influence on Western security

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EUROPE

She implied that the role should go to someone from Central-Eastern Europe (CEE). Von der Leyen’s message emphasises how far the balance in decision-making on European security…

France’s role in Eastern Europe will expand

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FRANCE/EASTERN EUROPE

Since the full-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine began, France has deepened its involvement in Eastern Europe through weapon deliveries to Kyiv, military deployments on NATO’s…

Russia’s influence in Central Asia will wane

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CENTRAL ASIA

During his meeting with his Kazakh counterpart Kassym-Jomart Tokayev in Astana, Putin called the two countries “not just allies, but very close allies”. A month earlier, Putin had…

Unity on Ukraine is at risk in EU’s eastern members

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EU

Most eastern EU societies continue to support Ukraine in its fight for independence, back Western sanctions, the EU and NATO, and view Russia as a security threat, according to a…

Fading support for Ukraine will affect EU policymaking

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EU

This suggests a growing disconnect within European society from the realities of the war and a decrease in the perceived threat posed by Russia. This outcome reflects heightened…

Asian summits highlight contrasting trajectories

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ASIA

Indonesia hosted the 43rd ASEAN summit and related events, including the 18th East Asia Summit (EAS). India held its first-ever G20 summit. ASEAN’s chairmanship now passes to…

Pragmatism will sustain Italy’s support for Ukraine

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ITALY

Allies feared that the election of Meloni and her populist right-wing government last September would threaten Western unity over Ukraine. However, Meloni has used the issue to…

German-French defence tensions will persist

Location:

GERMANY

Berlin argues that Arrow 3 will close a capabilities gap in its air defence, though some analysts regard it as unnecessary. It is stepping up defence spending after years of…